CHINA’S STRATEGIC DILEMMA IN THE WEST ASIAN CRISIS

Managing Influence Without Security Commitments

The ongoing West Asian conflict presents a strategic dilemma for China as it seeks to expand its regional influence without assuming security responsibilities. While Beijing has deepened economic ties with Iran and the Gulf through energy trade and Belt and Road connectivity, it continues to avoid direct military or security commitments in the region. China’s response, driven by its energy security concerns, has focused on diplomatic rhetoric, calls for political settlement and limited mediation efforts, reflecting its emphasis on stability without strategic entanglement. However, this cautious approach exposes the limits of China’s influence and highlights a broader tension in its rise as a global power—balancing expanding economic interests without assuming corresponding security responsibilities.

 
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FROM NYOMA TO MORAN

Building Runways and Resolve

The development of infrastructure in Eastern Ladakh is vital for strengthening India’s operational capabilities along the Line of Actual Control (LAC). The operationalization of Nyoma airfield enhances rapid troop deployment, logistics support, and Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) in sensitive sectors such as Demchok and Pangong Tso. High-altitude operations remain challenging due to terrain, weather, and payload limitations, requiring resilient infrastructure and sustained logistical support. While China maintains several airbases and extensive transport networks in Tibet and Xinjiang, India retains the advantage of launching operations from lower-altitude bases in depth. Continued investment in airfields, Advanced Landing Grounds, and road and rail connectivity will improve operational readiness and resilience in the region.

 
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CHINA’S ELECTION-PROOF STRATEGY ON INDIA’S EASTERN FRONTIER

Political transitions in Bangladesh and Myanmar in early 2026 will have a ripple effects on India’s eastern neighbourhood, with the BNP winning a strong majority in Dhaka and the military-backed USDP consolidating power in Naypyidaw. While India often views such changes mainly through the lens of regional stability, the deeper issue is the growing structural influence of China. Beijing already holds strong economic and defence ties with both countries, relationships likely to persist regardless of political leadership. This expanding influence is particularly significant for India’s Northeast, which is geographically bordered by Bangladesh and Myanmar. Over time, China’s steady economic, military, and diplomatic presence could gradually reshape the strategic environment around India’s eastern flank.

 
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CHINA'S NO. 1 CENTRAL DOCUMENT

New Direction of Rural Development and Food Security

China’s 2026 No. 1 Central Document sets the tone for rural development and food security at the start of the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030). The policy document emphasizes diversification of food supply, stronger farmland protection, and climate resilience to address external trade pressures and extreme weather risks. Technological modernization—through AI, drones, IoT, and research reform—forms a key pillar in boosting agricultural efficiency amid rural labor constraints. The document also introduces a new phase of “regular and targeted assistance” in poverty alleviation, focusing on income expansion and risk monitoring. Overall, it reinforces China’s drive toward agricultural self-reliance, rural modernization, and long-term social stability.

 
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THE SENKAKU/DIAOYU ISLANDS DISPUTE BETWEEN JAPAN AND CHINA

History, Competing Sovereignty & Security Dynamics

The Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands dispute between Japan, China, and Taiwan reflects unresolved historical legacies of the First Sino-Japanese War, contested post-WWII settlements, and competing legal interpretations of sovereignty and maritime boundaries in the East China Sea. The issue intensified after the 1968 discovery of potential hydrocarbons and Japan’s 2012 nationalization, leading to sustained maritime patrols, legal assertions, and strategic signalling by all sides. Today, the dispute represents not only a territorial disagreement but a broader contest over regional order, alliance politics, sea lane security, and the interpretation of international maritime law in East Asia.

 
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ZERO DAY ATTACK- A WARNING SHOT FOR TAIWAN

Part 4: Spiritual Lessons

This is the fourth of a six-part series analysing the Taiwanese television series Zero Day Attack for the Organization for Research on China and Asia’s (ORCA) “Reviewing Chinese Culture” segment.

 
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INDIA'S SOFT PUSH FOR POWER IN SOUTH ASIA

Shaping a Favourable Tomorrow

The Special Issue “India’s Soft Push for Power in South Asia: Shaping A Favourable Tomorrow” was ideated keeping in mind the increasing need for Indian policymakers to mitigate challenges emerging against New Delhi’s South Asian policy. Through each chapter, contributed by emerging Indian scholars specializing in India’s neighborhood policy, the publications envisions new and existing strategies to effectively leverage India’s soft power appeal in South Asia. 

 
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Issue Brief

CHINA'S NO. 1 CENTRAL DOCUMENT


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Reviewing Chinese Culture

ZERO DAY ATTACK- A WARNING SHOT FOR TAIWAN


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Backgrounders

THE SENKAKU/DIAOYU ISLANDS DISPUTE BETWEEN JAPAN AND CHINA


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CHINA’S STRATEGIC DILEMMA IN THE WEST ASIAN CRISIS


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